Saturday, October 30, 2010

McCall - Hatfield, Kitzhaber - Kulongoski?

When political historians reflect on the postwar era in Oregon, I think it's fair to say three main figures emerge in short order:  Tom McCall, Mark Hatfield, and Wayne Morse (until his loss to Bob Packwood in 1968).  I think the relationship between Tom McCall and Mark Hatfield is fascinating.  On one hand their names have basically become shorthand for a brand of liberal Republicanism that once dominated the state but is dying or dead (I would argue the watershed moment for the Oregon GOP was in 1990, when Al Mobley and the Christianists sabotaged Dave Frohnmayer).  They are known for an inclusive and, frankly, progressive tradition in Oregon politics that prized careful stewardship of resources and fairly localized approaches to national politics.  McCall openly detested Reagan; Nixon almost picked Hatfield as his VP nominee in 68; Hatfield voted against the first Gulf War.  

On the other hand, McCall and Hatfield were almost diametrically opposed on major issues of the day, and personally disliked each other.  McCall was very much a rah-rah patriot who supported the Vietnam War and privately ridiculed Hatfield's principled opposition.  McCall was pro choice; Hatfield was adamantly opposed to abortion.  Where Hatfield was crisp and cerebral, McCall was brash, bawdy, and desperately in need of praise from the voters he met.

What will future political historians who look at our recent history think about Governors Kulongoski and Kitzhaber?  The same can be said about them as McCall and Hatfield, that their names have become shorthand for a period of political period and approach (especially if you believe Chris Dudley's advertising!), yet they have taken opposite sides on most major issues, differ in approach and also seem to have no love for one another.   Kulongoski drew the ire of most in the Oregon Democratic Party by being a prominent supporter of the war in Iraq.  Kitzhaber was a prominent dove.  Where Kulongoski's great lasting legacy seems to be low-key bureaucratic managing and a push towards biofuels and tax incentives for renewable energy (BETC), Kitzhaber's first two terms included shaping his innovative Oregon Health Plan and showdowns with GOP leaders.  In his current campaign he has discussed reigning in BETC tax credits.  He's loathe to mention Kulongoski on the campaign trail except to imply that he should be elected to clean up Kulongoski's mess.  

If Kitzhaber wins on Tuesday, what role will Kulongoski play in government?  In light of the expected downward trend in revenue, what Kulongoski pet projects, if any, will Kitzhaber first gut?  Are the two so indistinguishable so as to cost Kitzhaber significant votes?

No comments:

Post a Comment